How Should Investors Approach Entertainment M&A?
Date Written: 26th February 2026
Key Takeaways:
A changing landscape in the entertainment industry - Streaming will drive increased M&A activity for the sector over the next 10 years. This is because the combination of film and cable assets with streaming assets could create lucrative, direct-to-consumer platforms.
Analysing mergers - Two recent merger deals will be analysed to see whether there are upsides to these integrations on underlying fundamentals, allowing us to advise investors on whether merged entertainment entities are worth allocating capital to.
Introduction
Things look to be heating up in the entertainment industry. Paramount and Netflix are in a ferocious bidding war, with offers rising from $82.7 billion to $108.4 over the last few months. Meanwhile, Sony has partnered with Singapore bank GIC to form a $1 billion+ music rights joint venture.
With streamers having gained significant scale and in some cases handsome margins, the competition is putting pressure on older conglomerates to see how more modern entertainment models can be integrated into business structures still somewhat dominated by legacy departments. This makes it likely that large-scale M&A deals in entertainment may pick up over the next decade, changing the landscape of the industry towards more diversified business models and ever further away from specialisation.
Given this backdrop, we believe it is interesting to reflect on previous M&A deals in the industry, and identify through technical analysis whether they were successful in strengthening the entity’s underlying fundamentals. Most importantly, we aim to identify any common upsides and downsides that investors should weigh up when looking to allocate money towards public entertainment entities that have undergone recent M&A deals.
In this article specifically, we will focus only on mergers. Before-and-after deal comparisons are simpler relative to acquisitions, as the firms involved are closer in size.
Article Methodology
To analyse the success of a merger, we first analysed the financials of the constituent firms merging before the deal occurred. We then analysed the combined entity after the merger. COVID years are excluded as not to penalise business structures that weren’t primed for resilient pandemic performance through little fault of their own.
The metrics used in our financial tables cover areas such as revenue performance, revenue lines, profitability, cash flow, the balance sheet, and firm-specific strategic metrics that may provide unique insights.
To allow consistent and fair comparisons across years and industries, key metrics are benchmarked. This is achieved through comparables analysis, with comparable firms being of a similar size and business structure to that of the relevant firm for the year/s in question. Areas of relative overperformance and underperformance can then be identified both before and after the deal, enabling us to determine whether a merger strengthened or weakened key metrics.
CBS × Viacom
Overview
The CBS Corporation, as its second incarnation from 2005 to 2019, was a multinational media company that focussed on commercial broadcasting, publishing and television productions. It was the first product of the 2005 breakup of Viacom, which CBS was a part of.
Some of its most significant achievements included:
- Being the most watched US-broadcast network from 2008 to 2019
- Building a large domestic portfolio of television assets, including CBS Television Network, Showtime OTT, and CBS Television Studios. Showtime OTT especially was a producer of major cultural hits, including Dexter, Shameless and Homeland
- Launching and scaling CBS All Access, later rebranded as Paramount+, which was one of the earliest US broadcaster-owned streaming services
- Co-producing Schitt’s Creek, which aired on PopTV, a part of CBS Television Network
A smaller Viacom was the other product of the 2005 breakup. Like CBS, it was deemed a multinational media company during its second incarnation from 2005 to 2019.
Unlike CBS, however, it was also considered an entertainment conglomerate due to its ownership of a major Hollywood film studio in Paramount Pictures, alongside a worldwide portfolio of cable networks catered to a range of age groups.
Some of its most significant achievements included:
- Building a worldwide cable portfolio, including MTV, Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, BET and Paramount Network
- Operating one of the world’s most recognizable film studios, Paramount Pictures, with major franchises such as Transformers, Mission: Impossible and Star Trek
- Delivering major cultural hits through its worldwide cable portfolio, such as SpongeBob SquarePants, South Park and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
The rationale behind the re-merger was to:
- Reunite complementary television, film and streaming assets under a single corporate structure
- Strengthen collective negotiating power with distributors
- Compete more effectively with vertically integrated rivals such as Disney, Comcast and Netflix
CBS
CBS 10-K 2018
CBS 2018 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for CBS FY2018, before the merger:
- Revenue growth outperformed industry expectations by 4 percentage points
The largest driver of revenue growth by absolute numbers was entertainment. This business line included functions such as:
- CBS Television Network
- CBS Television Studios
- CBS All Access
- Showtime OTT
- Distribution of CBS-produced content
The highest percentage revenue growth was recorded by local media. This business line included functions such as:
- CBS Television Stations Group, which operated broadcast stations across the US
At the same time, revenue decline was recorded for cable networks and publishing. The cable networks business line included functions such as:
- Premium subscription television through Showtime Networks
- Basic cable channels, including Smithsonian Channel and Pop TV
The publishing business line included functions such as:
- Simon & Schuster book publishing division, which produced and distributed fiction, non-fiction and digital titles across a wide range of genres and imprints
- Adjusted operating margin underperformed industry expectations by 4.1 percentage points
- Free cash flow margin underperformed industry expectations by 2.8 percentage points
- Net debt-to-revenue was higher than industry expectations by 4.2 percentage points
- Net leverage was higher than industry expectations by 0.33x
Viacom
Viacom 10-K 2018
Viacom 2018 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for Viacom in the year to September 30th 2018, before the merger:
- Revenue growth underperformed industry expectations by 8 percentage points
The largest driver of revenue decline by both absolute numbers and percentage points was in filmed entertainment. This business line included functions such as:
- Production and distribution of feature films through Paramount Pictures
- Licensing of feature film content to television and streaming platforms
- Using feature films to push both physical and digital home entertainment sales
- Adjusted operating margin underperformed industry expectations by 5.4 percentage points
- Free cash flow margin underperformed industry expectations by 2.6 percentage points
- Net debt-to-revenue was lower than industry expectations by 30.4 percentage points
- Net leverage was higher than industry expectations by 0.26x
CBSViacom/Paramount Global
Paramount Global 10-Ks 2023 and 2024
Paramount Global 2023/24 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for Paramount Global (ViacomCBS) FY2023 and FY2024:
- Revenue growth underperformed industry expectations by 7 percentage points in 2023, in between the previous performance of Viacom and CBS
- However, revenue growth outperformed industry expectations by 1 percentage point in 2024, stronger than both Viacom and CBS
The largest driver of revenue decline by both absolute numbers and percentage points, in both 2023 and 2024, was in filmed entertainment. This business line included functions such as:
- Production and distribution of feature films through Paramount Pictures
- Licensing of feature film content to television and streaming platforms
- Using feature films to push both physical and digital home entertainment sales
- Making feature film content that was compatible with Paramount+ and Pluto TV, both of which are Paramount-owned streaming platforms
One business line that did record revenue growth in both 2023 and 2024 was Direct-to-Consumer. This business line included functions such as:
- The operational and financial management of Paramount+ and Pluto TV
- Operational responsibilities included ensuring a smooth interface and acquisition of exclusive content
- Financial responsibilities included managing subscription fees and maximising revenue on ad-supported channels
- Adjusted operating margin underperformed industry expectations by 9.2 and 7.0 percentage points for 2023 and 2024 respectively, both worse than the underperformance of Viacom and CBS
- Free cash flow margin underperformed industry expectations by 9.1 and 8.7 percentage points for 2023 and 2024 respectively, both worse than the underperformance of CBS
- Net debt-to-revenue was higher than industry expectations by 9.4 and 12.2 percentage points for 2023 and 2024 respectively, an unfortunate reversal of performance compared to Viacom and CBS
- Net leverage was higher than industry expectations by 3.69x and 2.57x for 2023 and 2024 respectively, both of which are weaker than Viacom and CBS
In light of these observations, this merger can be considered a material underperformance relative to benchmarks.
WarnerMedia × Discovery
Overview
Warner Media was a subsidiary formed from the acquisition of Time Warner by AT&T in 2018.
This acquisition brought about many changes to the brand. The first change was the integration of Otter Media, which operated Crunchyroll, an anime streaming platform that distributes renowned cultural hits such as Attack on Titan and Demon Slayer. Another major change was the breaking up of its broadcasting assets into WarnerMedia Entertainment, which would consist of HBO, HBO Max, TBS, TNT and TruTV, and WarnerMedia News & Sports, which would consist of CNN Worldwide, Turner Sports and the AT&T SportsNet.
Some of WarnerMedia’s most significant achievements included:
- The global expansion of HBO, alongside the launch of the HBO Max streaming service in 2020, which brought together HBO premium programming, Warner Bros films, DC content and other television libraries under one direct-to-consumer platform
- Delivering cultural hits through HBO and HBO Max, such as Game of Thrones, Succession, Euphoria and House of the Dragon
- Maintaining strong positions in theatrical film, major news coverage, top-rated cable entertainment and sports. This was especially aided by cultural hits such as Dune and Joker, and rights agreements such as the NBA, Major League Baseball and the UEFA Champions League
Discovery, on the other hand, was a multinational television conglomerate that operated a group of factual and lifestyle television brands, such as the Discovery Channel, Animal Planet, Science Channel and TLC. It also ran major regional operations such as Eurosport and Golf TV.
Some of its most significant achievements included:
- The global expansion of its lifestyle and factual brands
- Delivering unscripted franchises such as 90 Day Fiancé, Deadliest Catch, and MythBusters
- Launching the Discovery+ streaming service in 2021 to bring together its wide portfolio of non-fiction content under a single direct-to-consumer platform
- Strengthening its international sports presence through Eurosport, including securing European rights to the Olympic Games
The rationale behind the merger was to:
- Build a broader, more balanced streaming offering by combining HBO Max’s scripted titles with Discovery+’s high-volume, lower-churn factual content
- Use Discovery’s strong global distribution footprint to support WarnerMedia’s brands
- Reduce AT&T’s debt and refocus its operations on telecoms
- Strengthen collective bargaining power with advertisers and distributors
Warner Media
Time Warner 10-K 2017
Time Warner 2017 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for Time Warner FY2017, before the merger and with the firm {equivalent to Warner Media} being an independent entity with financial statements:
- Revenue growth outperformed industry expectations by 3 percentage points
The largest driver of revenue growth in absolute terms was the Warner Bros subsidiary. This business line included functions such as:
- Production and distribution of feature films
- Television programming
- Home entertainment content
- Interactive gaming
- Consumer products licensing
The highest percentage revenue growth was recorded by Home Box Office. This business line included functions such as:
- Linear premium channels, including HBO and Cinemax
- Original series and film production
- International network operations
- HBO NOW streaming service
- Adjusted operating margin outperformed industry expectations by 0.5 percentage points
- Free cash flow margin outperformed industry expectations by 1.6 percentage points
- Net debt-to-revenue was lower than industry expectations by 2.1 percentage points
- Net leverage was lower than industry expectations by 0.11x
Discovery
Discovery 10-K 2019
Discovery 2019 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for Discovery FY2019, before the merger:
- Revenue growth outperformed industry expectations by 5 percentage points
The largest driver of revenue growth in both absolute and percentage terms was advertising. This business line included functions such as:
- Running owned networks, including Discovery Channel, TLC, Animal Planet, HGTV, Food Network, and Eurosport
- Digital video offerings and related online properties
Distribution also recorded handsome revenue growth, at 7 percentage points. This business line included functions such as:
- Brokering agreements with pay-TV operators and virtual multichannel video distributors (vMVPDs) to carry owned networks
- Collecting fees from direct-to-consumer and digital distribution arrangements
- Adjusted operating margin outperformed industry expectations by 19.1 percentage points
- Free cash flow margin outperformed industry expectations by 13.6 percentage points
- Net debt-to-revenue was higher than industry expectations by a staggering 103.3 percentage points
- Net leverage was higher than industry expectations by 1.98x
Warner Bros Discovery
WarnerBros Discovery 10-K 2024
WarnerBros Discovery 2024 Benchmarks
Below are the key observations for Warner Bros Discovery FY2024:
- Revenue growth underperformed industry expectations by 6 percentage points, a significant deterioration relative to both WarnerMedia and Discovery
The largest driver of revenue decline, in both absolute and joint percentage terms, was networks. This business line included functions such as:
- Operating worldwide cable channels, including CNN, TNT, TBS, Discovery Channel, HGTV, Food Network, TLC, Cartoon Network and Eurosport
- Collecting advertising and affiliate distribution revenues from these channels
However, one area of revenue growth was in direct-to-consumer. This business line included functions such as:
- Operating global streaming platforms, including Max and discovery+
- Adjusted operating margin outperformed industry expectations by 3.9 percentage points, which is in between the performance of WarnerMedia and Discovery
- Free cash flow margin outperformed industry expectations by 2.8 percentage points, which is in between the performance of WarnerMedia and Discovery
- Net debt-to-revenue was higher than industry expectations by 51.1 percentage points, which is in between the performance of WarnerMedia and Discovery
- Net leverage was higher than industry expectations by 1.97x, which is roughly the same performance as Discovery but significantly worse than that of WarnerMedia
We conclude that this merger was closer to a neutral, expected performance compared to that of CBS and Viacom, although the overall performance was still a slight net negative. This seems fixable with time, so it will be interesting to see what Warner Bros Discovery’s 2025 Annual Statement brings.
What Investors Should Take From This
Common upsides for merged entertainment entities
- Revenue growth in the direct-to-consumer business line
Common downsides for merged entertainment entities
- Worsened leverage position relative to industry expectations
- Revenue decline in more traditional business lines, such as filmed entertainment and cable networks
Grey areas for merged entertainment entities
- Change in overall revenue growth relative to industry expectations
- Change in adjusted operating margin relative to industry expectations
- Change in free cash flow margin relative to industry expectations
- Change in net debt-to-revenue relative to industry expectations
Therefore, investors should look at the following factors when determining the investment potential of a merged entertainment entity:
- The level to which direct-to-consumer operations are mentioned in the rationale for the merger relative to filmed entertainment and cable networks
- Overall revenue growth
- Adjusted operating margin
- Free cash flow
- Net debt-to-revenue
- Leverage position
Regarding The Smart Money Show’s position, we would recommend that merged entertainment entities be approached cautiously by investors. Paramount Global recorded poor performance and Warner Bros Discovery did not produce any notable net gains. This suggests that the synergies cited by the firms’ boards pre-merger are often outweighed by fiscal drag post-merger, especially with regard to leverage position. Thus, these deals essentially substitute a problem of scale and infrastructure with one of weakening metrics, at least over the short-run.